Grêmio B vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
57.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ECA
1 - 1
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
SJO
1 - 2
GRE
37%
23%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
LAJ
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
SJO
65%
18%
17%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LAJ
1 - 0
CAX
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
CAX
3 - 0
ECA
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
SJO
2 - 1
CAX
16%
21%
64%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ECA
0 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |