Farroupilha vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
4 - 1
FAR
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 1
GEB
43%
26%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
3 - 2
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
FAR
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECJ
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
SAO
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |