Gaucho 2 Quarter-finals
Global 3-7
Farroupilha vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
0 - 0
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
GEB
4 - 0
FAR
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 3
FAR
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 1
ECJ
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
PEL
4 - 0
FAR
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
0 - 0
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 0
ECJ
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
PEL
4 - 3
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
RIO
2 - 2
SAO
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
GEB
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |