Farroupilha vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
FAR
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
0 - 1
FAR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 1
ECJ
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 0
BRA
15%
20%
64%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
ECJ
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 3
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
0 - 1
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |