Farroupilha vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 1
ECJ
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 3
FAR
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 2
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
3 - 0
FAR
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
PEL
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
POR
4 - 0
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 0
LAJ
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CAC
3 - 3
GUA
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAC
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |