Farroupilha vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
3 - 2
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
FAR
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ECJ
3 - 3
FAR
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 4
ECJ
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 1
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 0
GFC
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 1
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 0
GEB
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEB
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |