Farroupilha vs CEF Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
3 - 0
FAR
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 1
PEL
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
51%
24%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 1
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 2
GEB
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CEF Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 1
GEB
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
PEL
4 - 0
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
PEL
20%
24%
57%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 2
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
5 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |