Gremio Anapolis vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
58.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
CRA
1 - 1
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 1
GIO
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 0
JAT
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GOI
4 - 1
GRE
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 5
ATL
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 5
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
GIO
3 - 1
VIL
19%
21%
60%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIL
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 1
APA
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |