Gremio Anapolis vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GOI
3 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 2
CRA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 0
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATL
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 3
GOI
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
APA
2 - 0
ANA
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TRI
3 - 2
APA
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
APA
2 - 0
CRA
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
APA
1 - 1
ANA
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |