Greifswalder vs Hertha BSC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
4º
10º
6º
1
10º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
0 | 67 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 62 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 61 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 59 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 59 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
0 | 58 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 53 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 53 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 53 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 47 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 47 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
|
3º
|
1 | 36 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
1 | 36 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 35 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 29 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 28 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 28 |
18º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
GRE
3 - 0
LUB
41%
24%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
COT
3 - 2
GRE
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 3
ROS
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SGW
0 - 15
GRE
6%
12%
83%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GRE
4 - 0
HAL
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
HER
2 - 0
TAS
77%
14%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
HZE
4 - 0
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
HER
1 - 2
BFC
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CHL
2 - 2
HER
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HER
4 - 1
MEU
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |