Greifswalder vs Chemie Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
9º
16º
14º
53
3º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
COT
3 - 1
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
ERF
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GER
0 - 0
GRE
15%
19%
66%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
BFC
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
BAB
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chemie Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHL
4 - 0
TEN
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIK
0 - 2
CHL
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHL
4 - 2
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
3 - 0
CHL
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
CHL
1 - 0
CZJ
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |