Greifswalder vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
71.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 3
CZJ
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ZWI
0 - 2
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLO
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
FCP
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
RSO
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 4
LYO
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCU
4 - 4
GLA
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 2
DYN
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 4
FCU
7%
19%
75%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |