Greenock Morton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1985 |
CEL
4 - 0
GRE
79%
14%
8%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1985 |
HIB
5 - 1
GRE
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
GLA
2 - 0
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1985 |
ABE
5 - 0
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
HOM
2 - 0
GLA
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1985 |
ABE
2 - 2
HOM
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 3
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1985 |
HOM
0 - 1
STM
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1985 |
HOM
5 - 1
DUM
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |