Greenock Morton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
CLY
0 - 3
GRE
60%
18%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
HIB
3 - 4
GRE
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1948 |
GRE
1 - 1
MHE
51%
22%
28%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
GRE
2 - 1
QOS
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
ALB
2 - 1
GRE
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
HOM
1 - 1
QOS
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
FAL
5 - 3
HOM
61%
19%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1948 |
HOM
1 - 3
PAR
57%
20%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
CLY
3 - 3
HOM
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
HOM
2 - 0
GLA
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |