Greenock Morton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
HAM
1 - 2
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
STM
1 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
BER
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
KIL
0 - 2
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
CLY
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 2
HIB
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
STJ
3 - 0
FAL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 0
ELG
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
STI
1 - 0
FAL
14%
19%
67%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |