Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
5º
45
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
GRE
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
HOM
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
ICT
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 0
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
DUN
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
AIR
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
AYR
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 0
DUN
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |