Greenock Morton vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
STM
1 - 1
GRE
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
QOS
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
HIB
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BEJ
0 - 6
GRE
8%
13%
79%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 0
DUN
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
AYR
4 - 4
DUM
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DUM
2 - 1
FAL
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 0
DUM
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 1
BRA
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |