Greenock Morton vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 3
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 1
PET
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
STR
0 - 2
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
STI
0 - 2
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 2
STE
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
DUM
2 - 0
HOM
18%
22%
61%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
DUM
2 - 2
RAI
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
QOS
2 - 1
DUM
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 3
GLA
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ALL
3 - 0
DUM
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |