Greenock Morton vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 4
AYR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ALL
0 - 0
GRE
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 2
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 0
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
STI
3 - 1
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
STI
3 - 1
DUM
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
DUM
0 - 1
ALL
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
DUM
0 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 1
DUM
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
DUM
2 - 3
PET
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |