Greenock Morton vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1918 |
CEL
1 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1918 |
GRE
2 - 0
HOM
61%
20%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1918 |
CLY
1 - 2
GRE
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1918 |
GRE
1 - 0
AYR
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1918 |
QUE
3 - 0
GRE
32%
23%
46%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1918 |
DUM
2 - 0
MHE
57%
22%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1918 |
CLY
4 - 1
DUM
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1918 |
FAL
1 - 1
DUM
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1918 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUM
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1918 |
DUM
1 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |