Green Island vs Otago University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
NAF
2 - 5
GIA
18%
18%
65%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
WNK
3 - 5
GIA
27%
21%
52%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 4
MOS
56%
19%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
GIA
5 - 0
NAF
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HTA
1 - 6
GIA
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 1
OTU
33%
21%
46%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
OTU
1 - 2
44%
22%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
OTU
1 - 0
WNK
61%
18%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MOS
7 - 1
OTU
44%
21%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NAF
2 - 1
OTU
6%
12%
82%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | -2 |