Green Island vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
9º
8º
20
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
COA
3 - 2
GIA
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
4 - 5
GIA
74%
14%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 7
CAS
6%
10%
84%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
GIA
10%
14%
76%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WNK
2 - 2
GIA
53%
20%
28%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
DUN
42%
21%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
CAS
5%
9%
85%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
NOM
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 4
CHR
9%
14%
78%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
NOM
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |