Green Island vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
43.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
9º
8º
22
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 1
COA
55%
19%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
GIA
2 - 0
FCT
94%
5%
2%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
GIA
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FER
3 - 2
GIA
37%
21%
42%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 2
31%
21%
49%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
NSF
40%
22%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 4
CAS
9%
12%
79%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SUF
4 - 1
NSF
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -3 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
1 - 0
NSF
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 2
SUF
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |