Green Island vs Nelson Suburbs analysis

Green Island Nelson Suburbs
20 ELO 25
14.5% Tilt 19.7%
38282º General ELO ranking 10623º
114º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Green Island
20.8%
Draw
43.6%
Nelson Suburbs

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
Green Island
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
43.6%
Win probability
Nelson Suburbs
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Green Island
Their league position
Nelson Suburbs
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
22
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Christchurch United
49
49
100%
Cashmere Technical
39
42
100%
Coastal Spirit
31
31
100%
Dunedin
26
29
0%
Ferrymead Bays
26
29
0%
Nelson Suburbs
22
25
100%
Nomads Utd
20
23
100%
Green Island
16
16
100%
Selwyn United
10
10
100%
Twenty 11
10º
6
6
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Green Island
Nelson Suburbs
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Green Island
Nelson Suburbs
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Green Island
Green Island
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2023
GIA
Green Island
0 - 1
Coastal Spirit
COA
55%
19%
26%
21 21 0 0
31 Mar. 2023
GIA
Green Island
2 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
94%
5%
2%
21 9 12 0
25 Mar. 2023
CHR
Christchurch United
3 - 0
Green Island
GIA
86%
9%
5%
22 40 18 -1
27 Aug. 2022
FER
Ferrymead Bays
3 - 2
Green Island
GIA
37%
21%
42%
22 22 0 0
20 Aug. 2022
GIA
Green Island
1 - 2
31%
21%
49%
23 31 8 -1

Matches

Nelson Suburbs
Nelson Suburbs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
FER
Ferrymead Bays
1 - 1
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
40%
22%
39%
25 24 1 0
02 Apr. 2023
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
1 - 4
Cashmere Technical
CAS
9%
12%
79%
26 45 19 -1
24 Mar. 2023
SUF
Selwyn United
4 - 1
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
17%
18%
65%
29 19 10 -3
03 Sep. 2022
1 - 0
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
52%
20%
28%
29 30 1 0
28 Aug. 2022
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
3 - 2
Selwyn United
SUF
81%
12%
7%
29 19 10 0