Green Island vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GIA
1 - 4
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
6 - 2
GIA
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
QUE
5 - 6
GIA
20%
19%
61%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
GIA
3 - 2
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GIA
1 - 5
OTU
58%
19%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
3 - 2
NSF
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
COA
1 - 0
NSF
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 1
CHR
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
NSF
91%
7%
2%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
NSF
3 - 3
FER
74%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |