Green Island vs Caversham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
71.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ROW
1 - 6
GIA
44%
22%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
GIA
2 - 1
MOS
44%
21%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MOS
6 - 2
GIA
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -6 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
NSF
1 - 0
GIA
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
GBA
0 - 2
GIA
9%
14%
78%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Caversham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
CAV
0 - 0
DUN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 2
BAO
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -5 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ROW
2 - 3
CAV
11%
16%
73%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
OTU
0 - 3
CAV
11%
17%
71%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
CAV
5 - 0
QUE
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |