Green Gully Cavaliers vs Pascoe Vale SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 2
HUM
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
4 - 2
MEL
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 2
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
4 - 0
BEN
20%
24%
57%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +6 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
WEC
0 - 2
GRE
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 0
SOU
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
PAS
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
PAS
4 - 0
WEC
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
PAS
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
PAS
2 - 0
NGW
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |