Green Gully Cavaliers vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 1
GRE
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
OAK
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HUM
1 - 4
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 3
SOU
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 3
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 0
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
5 - 1
MEL
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
RIC
1 - 4
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
PAS
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |