Green Gully Cavaliers vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
HEU
2 - 1
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
DAN
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
SGC
1 - 2
GRE
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 0
BEN
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
4 - 2
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
BEN
0 - 2
MEL
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
ALM
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SOU
3 - 0
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 2
OAK
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |