Green Gully Cavaliers vs Fawkner Blues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 0
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 1
WES
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
4 - 0
PLI
35%
27%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
3 - 0
AIS
57%
23%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 1
OAK
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
FAB
0 - 1
PLI
11%
20%
69%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
AIS
4 - 0
FAB
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SOU
6 - 2
FAB
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
FAB
0 - 0
HUM
25%
25%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
HEU
2 - 3
FAB
87%
9%
3%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +2 |