Green Gully Cavaliers vs Essendon Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 1
GRE
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 2
HEU
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SGC
0 - 2
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 0
WES
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 1986 |
MEL
3 - 1
GRE
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
RIC
1 - 2
ESR
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 2
SOU
17%
24%
59%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
HEU
0 - 2
ESR
89%
8%
3%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
ESR
1 - 1
SGC
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 62 | 33 | 0 |