Green Gully Cavaliers vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
GRE
5 - 2
AVH
13%
19%
68%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
PLI
3 - 2
GRE
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 0
SOU
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
STA
1 - 2
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
HEU
4 - 1
GRE
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
DAN
3 - 0
PLI
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 2
STA
73%
17%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 4
DAN
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 3
DAN
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DAN
5 - 1
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +2 |