Grecal vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TCW
2 - 1
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
TCW
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
NPR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
LON
2 - 1
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
IGA
0 - 3
GRE
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |