Grebbestad vs Motala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
11º
10º
24
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grebbestad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
KON
2 - 2
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
GRE
3 - 2
TFC
85%
10%
6%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KON
0 - 0
GRE
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 0
SKS
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 0
GRE
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
5 - 2
IFH
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
MOT
8%
13%
79%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 0
MOT
52%
21%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KUM
1 - 3
MOT
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 1
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |