Grebbestad vs IK Zenith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
7º
6º
25
5º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grebbestad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SKS
4 - 1
GRE
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
VFK
5 - 4
GRE
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 3
TIK
34%
23%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 4
HER
52%
21%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
LID
35%
22%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
IK Zenith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IKZ
2 - 0
NOR
59%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SKO
2 - 2
IKZ
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
IKZ
4 - 0
YIK
41%
22%
38%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
IKZ
1 - 2
TIK
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
IKZ
4 - 0
HER
14%
18%
69%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +4 |