Grebbestad vs FBK Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
11º
10º
27
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 45% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 28% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grebbestad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 1
GRE
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
GRE
3 - 0
VAN
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
LID
2 - 1
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
GRE
0 - 2
KUM
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
IFH
2 - 0
GRE
15%
17%
68%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 1
FBK
32%
23%
44%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
TFC
0 - 0
FBK
9%
13%
78%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FBK
1 - 2
LID
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FBK
3 - 0
IFH
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 3
FBK
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |