Greater Lowell vs Rhode Island Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greater Lowell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
GRL
2 - 1
TSF
72%
16%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SUM
0 - 3
GRL
20%
19%
61%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
GRL
5 - 1
KST
41%
22%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
NYC
6 - 1
GRL
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rhode Island Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
RIR
2 - 4
NYC
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BRO
4 - 1
RIR
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
RIR
2 - 2
SUM
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
KST
3 - 0
RIR
77%
14%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |