Grbalj vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
IGA
4 - 6
GRB
30%
25%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DEC
3 - 1
GRB
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 0
BER
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ZET
0 - 0
GRB
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 3
BUD
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
FKD
1 - 3
LOV
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 2
MLA
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
PET
3 - 2
LOV
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 1
MOG
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RUD
1 - 1
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |