Grbalj vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
PET
1 - 2
GRB
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
GRB
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 0
LOV
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
GRB
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GRB
5 - 0
SUT
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
DEC
2 - 0
LOV
36%
32%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
DEC
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
DEC
0 - 0
SUT
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
4 - 1
DEC
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DEC
0 - 0
BUD
26%
29%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |