Grbalj vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
RUD
0 - 0
GRB
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
GRB
2 - 0
LOV
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MLA
1 - 2
GRB
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
GRB
1 - 1
PET
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BOK
0 - 1
GRB
11%
24%
65%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
KOM
0 - 1
DEC
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
DEC
0 - 1
RUD
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LOV
0 - 2
DEC
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
DEC
0 - 0
MLA
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
PET
1 - 1
DEC
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |