Grbalj vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
GRB
1 - 2
BUD
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
RUD
1 - 0
GRB
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
GRB
0 - 0
JED
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
GRB
0 - 1
KOM
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SUT
0 - 0
GRB
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
DEC
3 - 0
MLA
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BUD
3 - 2
DEC
62%
24%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DEC
0 - 0
MOG
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
RUD
3 - 0
DEC
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
DEC
2 - 2
BER
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |