Grbalj vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
PET
2 - 2
GRB
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
GRB
0 - 0
BOK
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
RUD
1 - 1
GRB
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
GRB
1 - 1
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2004 |
KOM
2 - 0
GRB
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
MLA
0 - 3
DEC
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
DEC
1 - 1
PET
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
BOK
0 - 1
DEC
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
DEC
0 - 0
RUD
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
DEC
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |