Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
RAP
2 - 0
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 4
RIE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
MAT
1 - 0
GRA
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
GRA
3 - 0
AWM
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 0
AUS
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
STR
1 - 3
AUS
41%
29%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
RBS
3 - 2
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
STR
1 - 1
SWB
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 4
STR
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
AWM
2 - 0
STR
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |