Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
FCB
3 - 1
GRA
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 1
WAC
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
WEI
1 - 1
GRA
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 0
VOI
76%
16%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ALL
2 - 1
GRA
14%
20%
66%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
STU
0 - 4
SVP
16%
22%
62%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SCL
1 - 0
STU
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
STU
5 - 0
AUS
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
STF
1 - 0
STU
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
STU
6 - 4
SVL
58%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |