Grays Athletic vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
WOK
3 - 1
GRA
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
3 - 2
KID
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
CRA
2 - 1
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 0
GRA
50%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 1
EAS
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
WRE
3 - 2
EBB
32%
29%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 0
WRE
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
WRE
0 - 1
BUR
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SAL
1 - 4
WRE
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
ALT
1 - 1
WRE
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |