Grays Athletic vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 0
CHE
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
RED
2 - 3
GRA
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
GRA
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
4 - 0
YEL
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
GRA
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ILF
2 - 2
TIL
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
TIL
2 - 1
HAR
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
POT
3 - 2
TIL
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
TIL
1 - 3
HEY
24%
24%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LEI
3 - 0
TIL
54%
22%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |