Grays Athletic vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LEA
1 - 1
GRA
71%
18%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 4
HOR
24%
23%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VCD
4 - 2
GRA
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 3
HAM
14%
21%
66%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 2
NEE
39%
26%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 2
DUL
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
YEL
1 - 2
CHM
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 3
YEL
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
YEL
3 - 1
HIS
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
YEL
0 - 1
HAR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |