Graus vs Jacetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Graus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BIE
1 - 0
GRA
57%
21%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 1
LAF
56%
20%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 0
PES
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jacetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CFJ
1 - 0
MON
35%
23%
43%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PES
0 - 0
CFJ
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CFJ
0 - 2
ZAI
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PHI
1 - 4
CFJ
36%
22%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CFJ
3 - 2
VAL
22%
22%
56%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |