UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 0-2
Grasshopper vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LAU
0 - 0
GCZ
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 0
GCZ
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GCZ
4 - 2
FCA
50%
25%
24%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
STG
0 - 2
GCZ
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 0
GCZ
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
LYO
2 - 2
RMA
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LYO
2 - 0
REN
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 1
LYO
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LYO
0 - 1
PSG
38%
26%
37%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |