Grasshopper vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
8º
7º
57
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 2
GCZ
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GCZ
2 - 1
WIN
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
GCZ
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
GCZ
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GCZ
1 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
LUG
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
ZUR
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |