UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 1-3
Grasshopper vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
GCZ
2 - 3
THU
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 0
GCZ
39%
26%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
GCZ
0 - 2
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
GCZ
3 - 1
WOH
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SIO
3 - 1
GCZ
25%
26%
50%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
LIL
30%
26%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 4
LIL
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 3
PSG
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
LIL
23%
26%
52%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 1
GIR
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |